Boris Johnson and the Conservative Party look set to record a sizeable majority in the House of Commons after a strong showing in Thursday night’s general election. At the time of writing, the Tories had won 364 seats, increasing their share by 47. The Labour Party saw their share fall by 59 seats to 203.
Johnson fought his campaign on the central theme of ‘getting Brexit done’, vowing to take the UK out of the EU by way of his ‘oven ready’ deal by the 31st of January. Despite failing to pass his Brexit deal in the last parliament, last night’s recalibration of the parliamentary arithmetic means that now, his deal is all but guaranteed to pass through the House of Commons.
This therefore greatly increases the likelihood that the UK will leave the EU on the 31st of January 2020 following which the UK would enter into a transition period until at least 31 December 2020. It would appear that there is now little prospect of a second referendum or revocation of Article 50. As such eyes will now turn to the withdrawal agreement itself, and to subsequent trade negotiations with the EU, which Johnson has pledged to conclude inside eleven months.
We will continue to provide analysis and updates as matters develop.